Broad Assumptions: Predicting The Miami Dolphins 2010-2011 Season

Please check out my blog: Dolphins Blog

Now that the Dolphins have an average difficulty schedule and not the hardest in the NFL like last year, I figured I could do a few predictions based on win-loss records last year.

Basically, if the Dolphins had more wins last year than their opponent I will count it as a win. I know it isn't very accurate because teams change and anything can happen on any given Sunday, but humor me here.

Also, if both teams had the same record I will give the win to the home team.

Miami's Record (7-9)

Week 1: at Buffalo (6-10) W

Week 2: at Minnesota (12-4) L

Week 3: New York Jets (9-7) L

Week 4: New England (9-7) L

Week 5: Bye

Week 6: at Green Bay (11-5) L

Week 7: Pittsburgh (9-7) L

Week 8: at Cincinnati (10-6) L

Week 9: at Baltimore (9-7) L

Week 10: Tennessee (8-8) L

Week 11: Chicago (7-9) W

Week 12: at Oakland (5-11) W

Week 13: Cleveland (5-11) W

Week 14: at New York Jets (9-7) L

Week 15: Buffalo (6-10) W

Week 16: Detroit (2-14) W

Week 17: at New England (10-6) L

Final Record: 6-10

What have we learned?

Don't trust schedule rankings. I know most of you probably already knew that, but this is just proof. Miami's scheduled opponents combined wins and losses last year were 128-128. That is misleading, though, because most of the teams the Dolphins play are above .500. The only reason that it is even is that they play some terrible teams that really add to the loss column like the 2-14 Lions

Just a little bit of number crunching. It obviously isn't a predictor of what will happen next year because the Dolphins have gotten miles and miles better already, and other teams have also obviously changed. So, don't lose heart Dolphins fans, because anything can still happen on any given Sunday.

Thanks for reading and please check out my blog: Dolphins Blog


2 comments:

Riverdog said...

Me again... I am waiting for people not to forcast wins and losses before the season starts, but we all do it and I am no different. If it goes the way your forecast is projected and we start the season again with a bunch of losses and a record of 1 - 4 fans will not be happy.

I expect another 8 and 8 record. I don't mind that to be honest. It is more important to me that we at least but forth an effort, without all the cheap TDs teams scored on us last year. Without those TDs and the coaching plunders we would have made the playoffs.

We can't give away wins as we did last year against teams that we have on the ropes, nor can lose games we should win. As we did against the Bills, Raiders, Texans. We just can't do that.

Paul S. said...

8-8? Not happening. Our offense will be too good to be outscored by eight different teams. I am thinking at least 10-6